Single Trigger vs Multi-Trigger Renewal Forecasting

A trigger point is a condition (or age) value on the decay curve that, once crossed, calls for an intervention. Every renewal forecast built from a decay curve needs at least one — the question this document works through is what changes when you use exactly one trigger versus several, over the same fixed 20-year planning period.

FIELD GUIDES

Alexander Muir

7/8/20261 min read

Contacts

Odysseus-imc Pty Ltd

✉️ sm@odysseus-imc.com
🌐 www.odysseus-imc.com

59 Mandalay Circuit

Beveridge, Victoria

Australia, 3753

Socials
Subscribe to our newsletter

Work: (+61) 3 8103 7011

Mobile: (+61) 433 825 658

Business Info

ABN: 52 290 836 018

ACN: 116 796 019

Credentials

• 'A Principal Author of the IIMM between 1995 and 2007'

• IIMM Principal Authors

• Strategic Asset Management Committee Member for the IWA for the Oceania
region

• Strategic Asset Management Committee Member for the AWA reviewing ISO
55000 for the water industry

• Australian Enterprise Awards 2026 Winners